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The 4.5 signal: Why Glassnode’s RHODL ratio says the bitcoin bottom may be in

📊 Sentiment Analysis & Key Metrics

  • Sentiment: 🟢 POSITIVE (+0.89)
  • Keywords: #Crypto
  • Source: CoinDesk
  • Published: 2026-04-17T09:37:23Z

FinBERT Sentiment Score

Score: +0.89 (Range: -1 ~ +1) | Confidence: 89.07% Analysis: FinBERT detected bullish market sentiment

📝 Brief Summary

Glassnode's RHODL ratio hits 4.5, its third-highest level ever, signaling long-term holder dominance and conditions resembling a market bottom rather than a cycle top after a 50% correction.

🔍 Market Background

The RHODL ratio is an on-chain metric that compares the supply held by long-term holders to that held by short-term holders.

💡 Expert Opinion

The elevated RHODL ratio suggests the recent correction has effectively purged speculative excess, potentially laying a foundation for a more sustainable uptrend. However, for the ratio to reach its historical peaks, a more severe demand collapse would be required, which current recovery trends and macro conditions make less probable.

⚠️ Risk Disclaimer

Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.


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